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- iHaveNet.com: Politics
by Paul Bedard
Herman Cain is dreaming if he thinks the public will make him president and Barack Obama's plan of repeating Harry S. Truman's come-from-behind 1948 victory is fatally flawed, says political expert Larry Sabato.
First Obama, who appears to be copying Truman's campaign against a "do-nothing
Writing for Sabato's Crystal Ball,
But those reporters are wrong, he adds.
"Unfortunately, the dramatic narrative of Truman's victory doesn't hold up to scrutiny," Instead, says Nyhan, Truman's "comeback was fueled by sizzling growth in the year before the election." Revised figures show that the economy was growing at a 6.8 percent rate. Current growth is 1.5 percent.
"This well-timed surge in economic growth is likely to have played an important role in the success of Truman's campaign," says Nyhan.
He adds that economic growth could change, though even the
As for Cain, Sabato's Crystal Ball political analyst Kyle Kondik says
history shows the former
"Will the
Kondik notes that while major parties have chosen non-politicians as their nominees, most have been military men. "Needless to say, Herman Cain is not Dwight D. Eisenhower," he says.
But Kondik notes that this primary season has been zany. "Perhaps the good showings by the non-politician politicians in senatorial and gubernatorial races were precursors to the biggest upset winner in American presidential history. Or perhaps Cain, like [Donald] Trump before him, will come crashing back to Earth by the time the real voting starts."
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Why Obama's No Truman and Cain's No Eisenhower | Politics
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