Spiritually, the UMP now has nothing to do with Gaullism. It is a classic right-wing party representing business and conservative interests, which found Sarkozy difficult to digest because of his unchecked ambitions, new-rich friends, self-promotion and rampant activism, all of which contributed to his victory but also his growing unpopularity in office, as well as his ultimate defeat last spring. His actual record as president was a creditable one with major accomplishments, and now the party misses him.
Oh, how it misses him! If he should change his mind and choose to run again in 2017, tears of gratitude would flood the party headquarters. But will he? And if not him, who? That is the question.
There are two men who want to become president of the party, which they consider to be the road to the presidency of the Republic, since they expect the Socialists to lose in 2017. One is the former prime minister,
The two have just competed in a referendum for the party presidency. Both claim to have won. Cope, who controls the party machinery, rejected Fillon's calls for a recount. Then ballots were found that had not been counted. Filllon said they made him the winner. Cope said the opposite. Sixty-seven percent of the party members said they wanted a new vote. Sarkozy contacted the two rivals and told them to settle this. They haven't. Fillon has now said he will form a new parliamentary group (an embryonic new party) unless there is a second election. Cope again has refused.
The game is extremely important because political parties are subsidized by the state according to their number of registered adherents. If Fillon goes ahead, the UMP will lose three million euros!
Next, about the drama on the left. After the trainwreck of
"Normality" is the least of Hollande's problems. He is excessively normal. His most serious problem (other than his tactless paramour, who moved into the presidential palace with him), is his lack of a serious program.
He campaigned on a promise to sock the rich, a Socialist wish-list of economic reforms of the neo-capitalist global order, and interest-group social initiatives, mostly of feminist and LGBT origin.
President Hollande's economic proposals have upset the corporate community, caused a large slice of the rich to flee to
He promised "marriage for all," complete with adopted children and medically assisted births for lesbian couples. This prospect has proven enormously complicated legally and bureaucratically (think of all those French state documents and archives requiring names of husbands, fathers, mothers, grandparents, etc.). More important, homosexual adoptions are opposed by nearly half the French public (53 percent by the latest IFOP poll). Hollande is already backing and filling on this issue, too, on which there have been major street demonstrations of opposition.
Homosexual marriage itself is not the problem. The law already offers a legal association for unmarried couples that provides the tax, social security, pension and inheritance advantages of marriage; but many seem determined to have the white veil, rice shower and Mendelssohn as well. Hollande has said that mayors who do not wish to perform such marriages can appoint a substitute.
Adoption is the big, big problem, and it is not just the churches and synagogues (and mosques) that object, but many psychiatrists, psychologists, doctors and social professionals -- as well as many of those who have adopted or been adopted.
Adoption produces profound trauma of identity and family, and in other human relationships. This is a profoundly serious matter. To again demonstrate my personal partiality, I believe it unacceptable to impose upon a vulnerable infant the lifelong personal, psychological and social handicaps of single-sex parentage -- however benign the intentions.
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(c) 2012 Tribune Media Services