NFL 2009 Week 14: Picks & Selections

Benjamin Lee Eckstein & J. McCarthy

2009 NFL Week 14 Picks

Eagles (+1) over Giants-x

Last week, we had the Birds winning, but not covering. They did both. This time, we'll go for the double dip. And why not. The last meeting had the Eagles breezing to a 40-17 win at the Linc on November 1. We're not looking for another blowout, but with DeSean Jackson back in the lineup (769 yards and seven touchdowns), it should be a solid night for the Green. The Birds have had great success up at the Meadowlands, winning and covering five of the last seven. And making this selection even tastier, the New Yorkers have run into quite a rough patch. The Big Blue have lost five of the last seven, while covering only once during that stretch. All that plus Michael Vick (one rushing TD and one passing TD last week) finally throwing a scare into opposing defenses. This feels like a 27-21 victory, unless of course it's nasty snowy, in which case, we would call for an under, and a 21-17 final.

Patriots-x (-13.5) over Panthers

As long as Bill Belichick doesn't bench the players he sent home from practice (Randy Moss, Adalius Thomas, Gary Guyton and Derrick Burgess) New England will be just fine. Actually, this could be the spark that lights the fire under the Patriots for the run to the AFC East title. Now that Tom Brady's wife, Gisele Bundchen, has delivered a healthy baby boy, Mr. Perfect can get back to the business of being Mr. Perfect. He IS perfect at home this season, with a spotless 6-0 mark, and has a run of 18-0 in Foxborough since 2006. This Carolina team is the perfect opponent for the Pats and their lackluster pass defense. The Panthers have a newbie at quarterback, Matt Moore, and will rely more on the run than the pass. With New England outscoring the opposition 117-31 the last three at home (an average of 28+ points per game), covering the double digit spot should be a breeze.

Packers (-3) over Bears-x

Lets just look for the better team, and that is CLEARLY Green Bay. The Packers are coming off a sloppy but strong win over the Ravens (27-14), and are square in the middle of the wild card mix. The Pack has THE BEST defense in the NFL, has covered six of the last eight overall, and eight of the last 10 AT Chicago. The Bears are pathetic against the spread, covering just one of the last eight, so we're all over the Packers.

Titans-x (-13) over Rams

Nothing wrong with ending a five game winning streak at Indy. Many winning streaks have gone to Indianapolis to die. Now Tennessee can jump back on track against the rotten Rams. St. Louis has ONE stinkin' win in the last 22 games, so we KNOW that a W is OUT of the question. Covering the 13 should come easy with Chris Johnson, the NFL's leading rusher, against a Ram defense that ranks among the worst, allowing 146+ yards per game on the ground.

Cards (-3) over 49ers-x (Mon)

With weapons like Larry Fitzgerald (eight catches, 143 yards and one TD) and Anquan Boldin (seven catches, 98 yards and two TD's) running wild last week, Kurt Warner's life is really not that complicated. Arizona has covered six of the last eight overall with one push, and six of the last seven on the road. And since San Francisco has abandoned the running game (53 yards last week), the Cards will pound the one dimensional Niners for an easy win.

Saints (-10) over Falcons-x

New Orleans almost blew its perfect season by putting it on cruise control against Washington last week, but escaped with a 33-30 OT win. That WILL NOT happen again. Saints by at least two dozen.

Jaguars-x (-2.5) over Dolphins

Without much fanfare, Jacksonville is holding down the second wild card spot, and it's because the Jags have ripped off a 5-0 run at home since the beginning of October.

Broncos (+7) over Colts-x

Indy goes to 13-0 but Denver should be able to stay competitive to the final gun.

Bengals (+7) over Vikings-x

Cincy's biggest loss on the road this season was by only three points. Grab the dog, or the Cats in this case.

Jets (-3) over Bucs-x

New Yorkers are 5-0 against the spread vs. Tampa, while the Bucs have covered only one of the last nine at home.

Chiefs-x (PK) over Bills

If they played a game and no one cared, would it be a game? Our "Monopoly Money Only" game.

Ravens-x (-13) over Lions

Baltimore has three cupcakes and Pittsburgh left. The Ravens need to devour the cupcakes.

Texans-x (-6) over Seahawks

Seattle has covered only one of its last seven on the road, so Houston becomes a tasty little play.

Raiders-x (+1) over Redskins

Washington is on an 0-9 roll on the road, so look for the Silver & Black to steal their fifth win.

Cowboys-x (-3) over Chargers

Tony Romo looked very capable against New York, and Dallas is always tough at home (11-3 last two years).

 

x-home team

Last week: 6-10

Season record: 98-93-1

 

2009 NFL Week 14 LATEST LINE

Favorite Points Underdog
Source: J. McCarthy
INDIANAPOLIS7 (44)Denver
MINNESOTA6 1/2 (43)Cincinnati
NY Jets 3(37)TAMPA BAY
KANSAS CITYPick'em (37)Buffalo
Green Bay3 (41)CHICAGO
New Orleans10 (50)ATLANTA
BALTIMORE13 1/2 (40)Detroit
JACKSONVILLE2 1/2 (44)Miami
NEW ENGLAND13 1/2 (44)Carolina
HOUSTON6 (45)Seattle
TENNESSEE13 (42)St. Louis
Washington1 (37)OAKLAND
DALLAS3 (48)San Diego
NY GIANTS1 (44)Philadelphia
Arizona3 1/2 (44)SAN FRANCISCO

 

NFL 2009 Week 14 - Selections & Latest Line