Newt's Up in South Carolina, But Can He Hold On?
Third GOP contest could prove decisive for White House nod
Though most people are focusing on the upcoming
"We think we have a good idea of what's going on right now, but it's changing fast," says
"He's hitting them right in their Achilles heel because people do know about "Romneycare" and they do know about Gingrich's past. They try to sublimate it and here's
"Gingrich's support is about an inch deep and a mile wide," the source says. "Romney's support and operation is an inch wide and a mile deep."
Gingrich has built up a team of about 14 staffers, largely made up of grassroots supporters and tea partiers, giving him the largest presence in the state, says the unaligned
"The energy right now is definitely with Gingrich," he says. "If the election were held today, he'd win by about 10 points."
But Gingrich has nowhere to go but down, he adds.
"It just seems to me that Gingrich can only play defense as this point," he says. "So I think Gingrich will probably tail off here to some degree. But is it enough for Romney to finish a strong second or to luck into victory? I don't know."
And because conservative candidates Minnesota Rep.
"(Paul) has a coherent libertarian ideology that sounds vaguely conservative if you're concerned about government spending, which our poll showed everybody was," Woodard says.
But while Paul has doubled his support over the last month -- from 5 percent to 10 percent -- Woodard says, "He's got a ceiling on him. I just don't know exactly where it is."
"There's an appeal to it, but I'm not sure it's a dominant one or else he would be higher," Bierbauer says.
Ultimately, the results of
He agrees with the others that after the first three contests, three different candidates could be touting wins.
"That's a perfectly plausible scenario. Then you could have three streaming out of
"If that happens, Romney's going to say big flippin' deal; I'm going to go to
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Newt's Up in South Carolina, But Can He Hold On? | Politics - 2012 GOP Primaries
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