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- iHaveNet.com: Politics
by Clarence Page
And now it's Newt?
Why has former House Speaker Newt Gingrich suddenly surged in the polls from near-oblivion to the top tier of Republican presidential hopefuls? Credit short memories in the ABM, the "Anybody but Mitt" movement.
The ABM faction of the
After all, the man has baggage, personal and public, of the sort that conservatives would decry in Democrats. Twice divorced, he left his first wife following her treatment for cancer. He left his second wife for a staff member who is now his third wife, Callista. Social conservatives don't like that.
He's also viewed by many as ethically challenged, having been the only speaker of the House to have been disciplined for ethics violations.
Even right-wing provocateur Ann Coulter vigorously pounces on his electability. "In addition to having an affair in the middle of Clinton's impeachment; apologizing to Jesse Jackson on behalf of J. C. Watts -- one of two black Republicans then in
Yes, the money from
But for now, at least, many conservatives are willing to overlook those negatives. They want someone who not only can unseat President Barack Obama but also promote "authentic" conservative principles.
Despite his occasional joint appearances with liberals, mostly outside of
Gingrich's resurrection came after recent debates in which he showed the ferocity of a Rottweiler, not against his fellow Republicans but against an all-purpose whipping boy, the "mainstream media." The ABMs hope Gingrich is a guy who will spank Obama in debates. If nothing else, they long for the entertainment value.
Gingrich happily endorsed that possibility, telling Politico's Jonathan Martin Thursday in Des Moines, "If we nominate somebody utterly inarticulate, Obama gets a billion dollars, he spends two months smearing the
But even debate victory is not a slam-dunk for Gingrich, who himself admits he has an occasional lack of discipline in staying on message. The former college professor loves to talk -- and talk. After he denounced Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan's radical budget, for example, as "right-wing social engineering," he famously reversed himself and warned: "Any ad which quotes what I said Sunday is a falsehood." At least he was thinking ahead.
When actual voting is held, I still agree with the conventional wisdom that Romney has the best chance to win the nomination. His moderate views frustrate the
But I'm not writing off Gingrich or anyone else, considering how the conventional wisdom four years ago at this time was predicting victories for Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani. Real votes, not just polls, will determine how far Republicans have moved to the right and whether ABM anger has a future.
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