A Brokered GOP Convention?
The winnowing process in the Republican presidential nomination race has now reduced the field to four candidates --
Romney continues to have the most money and largest field organization. Santorum has recent, if modest, primary or caucus successes to sustain him. Gingrich has his immense ego and a rabid following to drive him on. And Paul has his own goal of advancing a libertarian strain in the
With Romney failing to gain clear majorities of voters in the preliminaries to date, and with no message that seems to promise a broader constituency, there's no reason for the other candidates to fold up. The free televised debates, though temporarily in suspension, will resume soon, enabling them remain visible to millions of voters.
Between now and the next primaries, the Super-PACs supporting Romney and Gingrich can be expected to fire a host of negative advertising
at Santorum. The latest
The former House speaker has been fading so fast that ordinarily a candidate in his straits would be expected to drop out soon. But Gingrich has vowed to stay in the race into the convention, and a combination of more impressive debate performances and his immense self-assurance could well keep him going.
So what happens if this quartet of presidential wannabes hangs in, with none of them catching fire but each of them picking up a share of the national convention delegates as the process proceeds? With many states allocating them in proportion to the percentage of votes won in the primaries and caucuses, split decisions in many states seem entirely possible this year.
To clinch the Republican nomination this year, 1,144 delegates will be required and the nose count is only just
beginning. According to the
Republican contests in March could clarify the picture, but they also could reinforce the
muddled race. Most of the largest and delegate-rich states, including
After the last state contests are over, if no candidate has acquired the delegate majority for nomination, Republicans
could see the first deal in a smoke-filled room since 1920, when from a field of nearly a dozen vote-getters the
Republicans finally chose Sen.
That year, the brokered convention fired up the Republicans, and Harding was elected. But the same year the Democratic nominee, Gov.
This summer, there would be no any guarantee in a brokered convention that any of the candidates who have slogged through the process would be anointed. Some states might belatedly put forward favorite sons, further complicating the picture. Even the opportunistic
Read the latest political news.
- Stock Market Picks 90 Percent of Presidential Elections
- Twitter Mentality a Threat to America
- God and Caesar in America
- The God Gap
- When the Senate Worked
- The Congressional Thaw
- Failed Highway Bill Shows Just How Fanatical GOP Has Become
- Starving Public Universities Shrinks the Middle Class
- The GOP's Worst Week
- Why Marco Rubio Can't Save the GOP
- Third-Party Group Wants Internet to Pick Presidential Candidate
- Buddy Roemer to Seek Third-Party Presidential Nomination
- Debt, Baby, Debt: America's Newest Voting Bloc
- GOP Candidates Could All Add to Federal Deficit
- Who is the True GOP Conservative?
- Rick Santorum: The GOP's Unelectable Soul Mate
- Getting to Know Them
- No Republican Middle
- Note to GOP Field: Braggadocio Is Not Leadership
- Rick Santorum Repulses Independent and Moderate Voters
- What Rick Santorum Has Been Saying, And 'Not Saying'
- Only Santorum Addresses Values Issues that Concern Voters
- Rick Santorum Appeals to Only a Minority of Voters
- Mitt Romney Is More Electable, But Needs to Clean Up Campaign
- Both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum Disappoint Conservatives
- Mitt Romney Can't Be Trusted So Rick Santorum Is More Electable
- Romney's Arizona Law 'Model' Would Hurt All Immigrants
- The Manufacturing Myth
- GOP Candidates Revive Bush Pre-emption Doctrine
- The Tricky Politics of the Auto Bailout
- Protesting Today's Threat to Voting Rights
- Turning a Blind Eye to Government Benefits
- Obama Fights Back on GOP Gas-Price Attacks
- How Sex Hijacked Election Talk
- Rick Santorum's Reverse Snobbery
- Mr. Right Eludes the GOP
- Latino Voters to Candidates: What Are We, Chopped Chorizo?
- Lack of Enthusiasm Isn't Just a GOP Problem
- A Brokered GOP Convention?
- Obama's Cynicism for Me, Not for Thee
- Brash Limbaugh
- The Supreme Court: Politicizing Justice
- Muddying the Playing Field
- National Deficit Result of Wars and Bush Tax Cuts
- Five Ways to Spin Obama Tax Plan
- Social Issues Bring in Popular Vote for Republicans
- Republicans Can Win on Economic Issues, Not a Culture War
- Social Issues Are at the Core of Our Problems
- Republicans Should Focus on the Economy
- GOP Needs to Rethink Positions on Economy, Foreign Policy
- Republican Mean Streak Could Leave GOP Out in the Cold
- Extra Dollars You're Paying At Pump Going To Wall Street Speculators
- A Farewell to Fossil Fuels
- United States Can't Control the World Oil Market
- The Future of U.S. - Chinese Relations
- If American Manufacturers Keep Jobs, So Does Obama
- GOP Will Lose in 2012 if Social Issues Take Center Stage
- Why Looks Are Everything in a Presidential Election
- Swing Voters Need a Champion
- Good Businessmen Rarely Make Good Presidents
- Un-Presidential Primaries
- Inside Rick Santorum's Head
- Improving Economy Driving Independents Back to Obama
A Brokered GOP Convention? | Politics
Copyright © 2012 Tribune Media Services