With virtually all polls showing that soap opera star-looking candidate
According to the latest Mitofsky poll released last week,
Granted, there could be last-minute surprises. A growing everybody-against-
But while there are 14 million Mexicans under 23 who will be eligible to vote for the first time in a presidential election, and many of them may back
In addition, there is the fear factor.
But unlike President
The PRI candidate, a former
He says that he would double the size of
"We will separate common crimes from drug trafficking," says
"There would be much bigger chances of approving all pending reforms," Manlio Fabio Beltrones, the likely head of the PRI congressional bloc, told me in an interview, citing that most of the country's reforms have been stuck in
But critics point out that a PRI government would not pass any significant reforms, because it would not risk its alliances with the country's biggest and best-organized labor unions. What's worst, old habits never die, and that PRI would not be able to shed its penchant for corruption, critics say.
For nearly a century, the PRI has been the champion of "crony capitalism" - its sweet deals with friendly business barons were the source of most of today's biggest Mexican fortunes - vote-buying, electoral fraud, and a combination of bribery and intimidation schemes to control the media, they say.
"They would use the public budget to perpetuate themselves in power,"
Castellanos added that "this is not speculation, but a fact. It's what the PRI has been doing in virtually all of the 22 states where it governs."
My opinion: While the election will be much closer than the polls suggest,
It's a dangerous bargain, because in the long run corruption breeds instability and paves the way for messianic leaders. But elections are not about the long run.
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