Tinh Dinh Le and Cleo Paskal
There is an old Southeast Asian saying: "We are like the grass beneath two elephants. We will be crushed underfoot regardless of whether they fight or make love." This saying is much repeated these days now that
In January, President Obama announced a new focus on the region.
Militarily, there have been announcements of new deployments of US troops around the region, including marines rotating through Darwin,
Many neo-realists are saying that a fast-rising
First,
By taking advantage of American and Chinese desires to engage in the region,
Environmental projects are already leading to Sino-US cooperation in the region. In 2010, America launched the Lower Mekong Initiative, a cooperative gesture funded by the US government for effective management and equitable use of the Mekong.
In its initial response,
Secondly, if either
Finally, Southeast Asian states working together can achieve certain things that cannot be done by either
The larger networks forged through the
The sinking of the South Korean navy ship Cheonan in 2010, the US joint military exercise with
Times have changed in
The elephants aren't going to be able to blithely stampede through. It is not a grassland anymore, it should be regarded as a mature forest. Successfully navigating it takes consideration of local concerns, knowledge, respect, and true partnership. The era of naked power rivalry is over. It is a time of equitable and mutually beneficial alliances, not forced allegiances. The elephant that understands this first, and best, will have the edge. In the meantime,
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