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Ilyce R. Glink
FHA's capital reserves are supposed to be 2 percent of outstanding loans. According to the actuarial review for fiscal year 2009, the reserves are a mere 0.5 percent. By the time you read this, FHA's capital reserves might have disappeared entirely, thanks to the increasing number of FHA foreclosures.
All FHA borrowers pay a mortgage insurance premium. These premiums go into the FHA's capital reserves fund and are used to pay for loans that are foreclosed upon. As FHA loans have become much more popular, and the unemployment numbers have risen, more of these loans have gone bad, requiring more payments from the capital reserves.
Unlike the
According to a senior official at the
"Nothing will be taken off table," the official said. "Everything needs to be assessed through the lens of the FHA core mission as well as the broad economic policies of the Administration with regard to stabilizing housing."
There are at least six specific ways HUD is looking at stabilizing FHA:
1. Upping the minimum required down payment. HUD is looking at whether increasing the required minimum down payment from 3.5 percent to 5 percent (or more) will help stabilize defaults. If buyers have more "skin in the game," HUD officials wonder, will they be less likely to default on their mortgages?
2. Changing mortgage insurance premiums. HUD officials are considering whether changing the way FHA mortgage insurance premiums are structured will keep more buyers from becoming delinquent. Should there be an extra fee up front? Should the amount paid over time change for maximum stabilization? (FHA borrowers currently pay an upfront fee and a monthly charge for mortgage insurance.)
3. Raising the minimum credit score required for an FHA loan. While credit scores have been lousy at predicting what happens to people with good credit who lose their jobs, they have been more accurate in identifying risky behavior. At the height of the housing boom, FHA approved loans to borrowers with credit scores below 500. Discussions underway wonder whether the minimum acceptable credit score should be 620 or higher.
4. Dialing back how much money sellers can give FHA buyers. Right now, sellers can give buyers up to 6 percent to help cover closing costs and fees. Experts recommend reducing that to 3 percent.
5. Requiring FHA lenders to have more cash on hand. Like borrowers, lenders need to have more "skin in the game." Right now, lenders need only have
6. Eliminating abusive lenders. HUD is asking
HUD officials say the quality of the FHA loan portfolio has improved over the course of 2009. The typical borrower's debt-to-income ratio has declined, meaning the mortgage payment is a smaller portion of the borrower's monthly income.
While HUD officials are pleased to see borrowers with a stronger personal finance balance sheet, there are two big concerns. First, the number of borrowers who are delinquent in paying their mortgages is growing. If those borrowers don't figure out a way to make up their missing payments and start paying their mortgage on time, more homes will fall into foreclosure, further depressing housing prices.
The second concern is rising unemployment. "If unemployment continues to track at high levels and goes to 11 or 12 percent, that's a real struggle," the senior HUD official said. "The big risk is a stagnant, slow recovery that keeps unemployment rates high because there is no loss mitigation technique for that."
In other words, if homeowners lose their jobs and can't find replacements that pay enough to cover their monthly expenses, the FHA's capital reserves fund sinking into the red will be the least of the government's problems.
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FHA Loan Requirements About to Get Stricter