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William Pfaff
Five
They include the Benelux three, together with Germany and Norway. The five reportedly will ask that all the European NATO governments endorse their position before a meeting in New York in May.
The Dutch foreign minister described this as an attempt to seize the opportunity provided by President Barack Obama's recent call for a de-nuclearized world.
The latter is not likely to happen, but redundant or irrelevant (because designed for tactical use in land warfare) -- and by some reports incompetently guarded -- American nuclear munitions have no place in Europe today. The cold war was over 20 years ago. The American administration's attention should at least be caught by the claim that these weapons may not be properly secured. One of Washington's obsessions is the threat of a stolen nuclear weapon in terrorist hands.
The political significance of this European action should be seen in connection with the fall on
Any new government is expected to withdraw those soldiers, which have been part of the NATO Afghan coalition since 2006. The Dutch currently have 1,600 troops in Afghanistan and have lost 21 men.
In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel continues to resist mounting popular pressure to withdraw German forces from Afghanistan. The Canadians have decided that they already have done more than their share, and have set withdrawal for 2011. The British, as always, have the biggest force in Afghanistan other than the American, but its political base at home is weak and weakening. The French have special forces in action in Afghanistan. But most of the
The U.S. devotes large sums of money to subsidizing the participation in Afghanistan of small
The coalition offensive in the Marja region that began
Circumstances are as favorable as can be expected, in that the Taliban have not made themselves popular in the area, and the
If the Marja operation fails, the president in theory will be in a position to say that he has done his best with the strategy his commanders and their Pentagon superiors (and the Republican opposition) recommended. He can say it hasn't worked, and the time has therefore come to begin that withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan that he promised in the same speech in which he announced the Petraeus-McChrystal "surge."
I say "in theory." In political practice, it is likely to prove impossible for the same reason it was impossible for Richard Nixon to withdraw American forces from Vietnam until Henry Kissinger had negotiated an agreement with Hanoi that both sides understood was a masquerade -- which a majority of the
Barack Obama is likely to find that it isn't easy to declare wars finished, especially when he has a
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Europe - U.S. Allies in Europe Begin to Pull Back