Tanaka Thriving Without Strikeouts

Strikeouts have taken the league by storm, but Week 12 of Three Up, Three Down highlights players like Masahiro Tanaka who succeed without racking up punch-outs.

The great Crash Davis once famously said to his young pitching protégé Nuke LaLoosh that strikeouts are fascist. Modern baseball doesn't seem to agree with Crash -- strikeout totals have soared in recent years and are on a record pace in 2016. Still, there are plenty of players who thrive while avoiding K's like the plague.

In Week 12 of Three Up, Three Down, we take a look at three players who have succeeded by cutting strikeouts largely out of their game. We'll also examine three guys who whiff a lot and don't have much to show for it from a fantasy perspective.

THREE UP

SP Masahiro Tanaka, New York Yankees

    Stats June 20 -- 26: 1 GS, 1-0 W-L, 6.0 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 7 K
    Percent owned: 93 percent

Now in his third big-league season, Tanaka is a much different pitcher than he was when he first arrived in America. His strikeout rate has decreased each year while his walk rate has actually gone up, though he still doesn't give up too many free passes -- his current rate of 1.64 BB/9 is the seventh-lowest among qualified starters.

Despite striking out fewer than seven batters per nine innings, Tanaka has been among the best starters in baseball this season. His strikeout rate is the second-lowest among the 11 starters who have amassed at least 3.0 Wins Above Replacement, placing him in some good company.

A big reason for Tanaka's success is his ability to induce ground balls, an especially important skill when making half his starts at Yankee Stadium. The right-hander ranks in the top 20 in groundball percentage, and he's cut his home run rate in half from last season -- 1.46 HR/9 in 2015 compared to 0.73 HR/9 this year.

Perhaps the increased use of his slider is the primary cause, as opponents have hit just .194 against the pitch so far. Whatever the reason, Tanaka has ridden this strategy to strong results, and fantasy owners should feel confident trotting him out against any lineup and in any environment going forward.

C Wilson Ramos, Washington Nationals

    Stats June 20 -- 26: 9-for-22, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R, 0 BB, 4 K
    Percent owned: 91 percent

Ramos looked like a star in the making back in 2011 when, as a 24-year-old, he hit a robust .267/.334/.445 with 15 home runs in 113 games. Injuries derailed his next three seasons, as he played in just 191 games from 2012 to 2014.

Ramos stayed healthy and played a career-high 128 games in 2015, but his rust showed at the plate as he posted a meager .229/.258/.358 slash line, with a career-worst 20 percent K-rate. Now 28, he's finally put everything together and is the top-ranked catcher in fantasy baseball.

Ramos currently has career-bests in K-rate and isolated power, and his 12 home runs are tied with Salvador Perez for most among catchers. He's reached that lofty home run total despite maintaining his ground ball-first approach, which is a testament to how often he's made hard contact.

Ramos' fantasy value is amplified by the lack of viable options at the catcher position. Ramos, Jonathan Lucroy and Buster Posey are the only backstops ranked in the top 150 fantasy players, which means owners who struck gold with Ramos should hang onto him for dear life and only part ways via trade if the offer is substantial.

2B DJ LeMahieu, Colorado Rockies

    Stats June 20 -- 26: 13-for-29, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 6 R, 1 SB, 4 BB, 3 K
    Percent owned: 83 percent

In his first three seasons as an everyday player, LeMahieu was a slap-hitter who struck out far too often (17 percent of the time) for someone with such little pop. Now, in his age-27 season, he's suddenly developed excellent control of the strike zone and, more importantly, can actually make pitchers pay for their mistakes.

LeMahieu posted a downright awful .083 ISO from 2013-15, mustering just 83 extra-base hits in nearly 1,600 plate appearances. He's got 29 XBH through 294 plate appearances in 2016, and he's on pace for double-digit home runs for the first time in his career.

LeMahieu's ISO has skyrocketed to .171, good for 10th-highest among qualified second basemen after ranking second-to-last in 2015. Though his swing rate has only slightly increased, his contact rate has shot up significantly from his career norms. Whatever adjustments LeMahieu has made appear to be working, as evidenced by his 26.5 percent line-drive rate, good for ninth-highest in the Majors.

LeMahieu's recent move to the top of the batting order only increases his fantasy value, as he's on pace to score over 100 runs. LeMahieu left Sunday's game with a bruised knee and is considered day-to-day, but assuming the injury is no more serious than that, he should continue to put up All-Star-worthy results.

THREE DOWN

OF Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh Pirates

    Stats June 20 -- 26: 4-for-21, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB, 7 K
    Percent owned: 99 percent

A month ago, McCutchen was featured in the Three Down section with some optimism that he'd enjoy a breakout June, much like he did last season. Cutch has logged 320 plate appearances now, and we can no longer brush aside his sluggishness as merely a slow start.

McCutchen's strikeout rate has climbed to 25.3 percent, much higher than his previous career-worst of 19.6 percent he set back in 2012. He's walking a career-low 9.4 percent of the time, with a .177 ISO that's 20 points lower than his career average. Another troubling sign is the fact that he's become much more fly-ball prone than ever before, hitting the ball in the air 46.4 percent of the time.

McCuthen used to make a living destroying left-handed pitching, owning a .321 batting average against southpaws heading into the season. In 67 plate appearances versus lefties this year, Cutch has hit just .226 with four extra-base hits.

Granted, he hasn't had much more success against righties, so the root of his problems go much deeper than that. He's an awful 2-for-6 in stolen base attempts, looking nothing like the power-speed dynamo he once was.

McCutchen's trade value is practically nonexistent, and cutting ties with a first- or second-round pick is never an easy thing to do. While he's shown little promise this far into the season, the best thing owners can do is simply keep waiting it out and hope nights like McCutchen's two-homer game on Saturday are a sign of things to come.

SP Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays

    Stats June 20 -- 26: 1 GS, 0-1 W-L, 6.0 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 1 HR, 2 BB, 5 K
    Percent owned: 95 percent

Another repeat offender in the Three Down section, Archer has been among the biggest disappointments of the season, though it's not for a lack of missing bats. The 27-year-old is among the leaders in K/9, ranked ahead of aces like Jake Arrieta, Madison Bumgarner and Danny Salazar. Where Archer gets into trouble is when he misses his locations, something that's happened quite a bit in his first 16 starts.

Among the nine qualified starters averaging at least nine strikeouts and three walks per nine innings, Archer's 4.70 ERA is the second-highest. The only pitcher who's been worse is Francisco Liriano, who leads the majors in BB/9 by a healthy margin.

The fact that he still racks up strikeouts makes Archer at least a little helpful from a fantasy perspective, but on the whole he's done more harm than good. His home run rate has nearly doubled from last season, as hitters have made hard contact more often.

Archer's posted a 4.08 ERA in his last six starts, relatively good compared to his previous outings, and owners might be wise to try and trade him sooner rather than later -- two of his final three starts before the All-Star break are slated against the Boston Red Sox.

SP Drew Smyly, Tampa Bay Rays

    Stats June 20 -- 26: 2 GS, 0-1 W-L, 12.0 IP, 18 H, 12 R, 4 HR, 1 BB, 11 K
    Percent owned: 95 percent

Smyly was tabbed as a potential breakout star in the preseason, and he looked like a budding ace in April. He posted 41 strikeouts with six walks in five starts, with a 2.60 ERA. Those sparkling stats masked Smyly's real issue, though, as the lefty allowed five home runs in 34.2 innings.

As his results on balls in play have normalized, Smyly's long ball woes have persisted. His 1.91 HR/9 is the third-highest rate in the Majors, placing him in some pretty bad company.

Not counting Smyly, this group has combined for just 1.75 WAR, with Josh Tomlin responsible for the majority of that production. Smyly is one of 12 pitchers to average over 10 strikeouts per nine innings, but he's also an extreme fly-ball pitcher and allows hard contact 33 percent of the time, which makes for a dangerous combination.

Like Archer, Smyly's good for strikeout totals but should only be trusted in favorable matchups moving forward. Only keep him on your bench if there's no other viable options on the waiver wire, otherwise feel free to cut him loose for a better spot starter.

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